I bounce off every statistics book around chapter three Nonfiction
I am a software developer, comfortable with code, and I keep failing to get through statistics books. I get through descriptive stats and probability basics, then hit a wall somewhere around hypothesis testing where it becomes formulas I cannot connect to anything. Three books, same wall each time. I do not need to pass an exam, I want to understand what people mean when they argue about a study. What worked for people who got past this?
@gradschool_gary · 7mo ago · 3 replies
The wall is real and it is not about you. Hypothesis testing is where most books switch from explaining ideas to teaching a procedure, and the procedure is genuinely unintuitive when it arrives without motivation.
What got me through was reading two kinds of book at the same time. One narrative book about how statistics goes wrong in the world, which gives you the reason to care, and one working book where you do things with actual data. How to Lie with Statistics is very short, decades old, and still the best cheap introduction to why any of this matters. The Signal and the Noise is the longer modern version of the same instinct.
Then for the doing part: pick a dataset you personally care about, something like your own running times or your electricity use, and answer one question with it. The formulas stop being formulas about nothing and start being answers to a question you actually asked.
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@capsule_curious · 7mo ago
The two books at once approach worked for me as well. The narrative one supplies the reason to keep going when the working one gets tedious, and each makes the other easier to finish.
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@trace_tilly · 7mo ago
As a developer you can also just simulate it. Write twenty lines that generate random data, run the test, repeat it ten thousand times, and look at how often you get a false positive. A p value stops being mysterious the moment you have watched one appear from randomness.
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