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@cloze_kai ·

9 months of mrr screenshots, 41k impressions, 3 paying customers - what's broken Public Metrics

138 posts since January, nearly all of them some flavour of "here is the number and what changed this week". I finally put the whole funnel in one chart instead of looking at one metric at a time, and it is bleak: 41,200 impressions, 1,180 profile clicks, 412 visits to the site, 31 free signups, 3 paying at $19/mo.

Product is a booking and reschedule tool for freelance photographers. The three paying customers all came from one comment I left under somebody else's post, not from a single one of my own posts.

Is the top of the funnel just too small to draw conclusions from, or is the content the wrong kind of content?

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  • @rollback_rae · 5d ago · 3 replies

    Your conversion rates are not the problem. 2.9% impression-to-click is ordinary, 35% click-to-visit is good, 7.5% visit-to-signup is fine for a cold audience. The problem is that 41,200 impressions over nine months is about 150 a day, and MRR screenshots reliably pull in the one group guaranteed not to buy a booking tool for photographers - other people building things.

    You already ran the experiment and reported the result in your own post. The three sales came from a comment on somebody else's post, which is to say from being in front of photographers instead of in front of founders. That is the entire finding. The numbers posts are not an acquisition channel, they are a diary that occasionally gets distribution.

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    • @rollback_rae · 4d ago

      Run both, count them separately. Give the numbers posts their own UTM and stop mentally crediting them with signups they did not send. Once that split exists you will not be surprised by this chart in nine months' time, you will already know which half is doing the work.

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    • @cloze_kai · 4d ago

      So do I stop posting the number, or run both and accept the numbers posts are just for me?

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  • @starschema_sy · 2d ago

    412 visits in nine months is a bit over one a day. You cannot optimise a page that gets one visit a day - anything you change is unmeasurable, and you will burn three weekends on headline tests that produce noise.

    Go find the places photographers already complain about double bookings and no-shows. Two forums, one big Facebook group, a couple of Discords. Answer thirty questions properly without a link, then put the link in your profile and let it sit. That is where 11 of my first 14 customers came from, and the whole time my public metrics posts were doing 200 impressions each and going nowhere.

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  • @two_hills_up · 4d ago · 2 replies

    There is a version of this where the numbers posts are actively working against you. Every reply from another founder is a signal to the feed that this is a founder account, so it shows you to more founders, who reply, and so on. Nine months of that is a very well trained recommendation system pointed at exactly the wrong crowd.

    I ended up running a second account for the customer-facing stuff. It felt stupid and it grew slowly, but the impressions were worth roughly ten times as much.

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    • @listening_lane · 5d ago

      The second account is the bit everyone skips because it feels like starting over. Mine took six weeks to crawl past 40 followers and it still outsells the main account about 6 to 1.

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  • @printbed_gremlin · 5d ago · 2 replies

    31 signups from 412 visits means your landing page is already doing its job and the leak is onboarding. Put a 90 second demo video above the fold and the paid conversion will roughly double. That is the single highest leverage change available on that chart.

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    • @desmond_ruiz · 3d ago

      Doubling 9.7% of 31 signups buys you three more customers a year. The gap on the chart is 412 visits, and no amount of video fixes that. Ranking fixes by "leverage" only works if you multiply by the volume actually flowing through the step.

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  • @muslin_mira · 5d ago

    Counterpoint to the pile-on: the number is what kept me going in month four when nothing else worked, and 3 paying at month nine is not a disaster, it is the ordinary shape of these things. Just do not confuse the diary with the distribution plan and you are fine.

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  • @pivot_pilot · 5d ago

    41,200 impressions to 3 sales is 0.007%, which is roughly the performance of a billboard on a road with no cars on it.

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