Coast number assumed seven percent real and three years in I have got two Coast FI
I stopped adding to retirement accounts at 34 on the basis that what I had would compound to enough by 60. Three years in, the real return has been closer to 2% and the projection now lands about 15% short of where it needs to be. I'm not panicking but I don't know whether the right move is to resume contributions, extend the timeline, or accept that a three-year window says nothing. How do people handle this without redoing the model every quarter?
@tessa_ondrak · 6mo ago · 2 replies
Three years tells you almost nothing about a 26 year projection, and if you rebuild the model every quarter you'll coast, uncoast and recoast yourself into a mess. What I'd do instead is set a review date once a year and a single decision rule: if actual balance is more than X% below the glidepath at review time, resume contributions at some fixed amount until it's back on. Written down in advance, checked once, ignored the rest of the year.
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@mature_student_j · 6mo ago
A glidepath with a tolerance band is much saner than the single end number I've been using. Thanks.
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