added a $99 tier nobody has ever bought and the $29 tier started converting better - real or noise at 60 signups a month
Three weeks ago I added a top tier at $99 that includes a few things I haven't finished building. Zero purchases, as expected.
What I didn't expect: the $29 plan went from roughly 9% of signups to 15%. Same traffic sources, same page otherwise. About 60 signups a month, so we're talking 5 or 6 conversions versus 9. I'm aware that's a tiny number of people.
Is this the anchoring thing everyone talks about, or am I reading a coin flip? And is it dishonest to keep a tier up that nobody is meant to buy?
@psu_paula · 3mo ago · 2 replies
5 versus 9 out of 60 is not a result. With counts that small the interval around your conversion rate is enormous and the two periods overlap comfortably. You'd need months at this volume to separate a real six point lift from noise.
That said, the cost of leaving the tier up is roughly zero and the expected value is mildly positive, so the correct move is to keep it and stop checking weekly. Just don't build a pricing philosophy on it.
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@vac_seal_vera · 3mo ago
Right, and the trap is that you'll now attribute the next good month to the tier and the next bad month to seasonality.
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